Final Score: Braves 2 - Phillies 3
Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 6:05 PM ET

Braves @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
61-74 Rating 1507
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Phillies
78-57 Rating 1551
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Phillies
All-time wins 435 399
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Phillies
Games played 135 135
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 45% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 67%