Final Score: Marlins 1 - Phillies 11
Wednesday, September 24, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET
Marlins @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 246 | 295 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 5 |
| Stat | Marlins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 157 | 157 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.0 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 67% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
Phillies
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Kansas City Royals
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2