Final Score: Tigers 4 - Guardians 2
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Tigers @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
85-73 Rating 1504
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
86-72 Rating 1529
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Guardians
All-time wins 438 450
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Guardians
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 54% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 56%