Final Score: Yankees 4 - Rays 5
Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
8-6 Rating 1550
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.3
Rays
7-7 Rating 1499
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 274 209
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 14 14
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 2.8 5.4
Win percentage 57% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 60%