Final Score: Marlins 5 - Braves 6
Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Marlins @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
9-8 Rating 1484
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.5
Braves
10-7 Rating 1514
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Braves
All-time wins 219 330
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 4.8
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Braves
Games played 17 17
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.2
Win percentage 53% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 60%