Final Score: Orioles 6 - Guardians 4
Friday, April 17, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
9-10 Rating 1498
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
11-9 Rating 1527
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Guardians
All-time wins 304 305
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Guardians
Games played 19 20
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 47% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 71%