Final Score: Twins 5 - Mets 3
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Twins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
11-11 Rating 1466
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.5
Mets
7-15 Rating 1495
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Mets
All-time wins 13 18
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.7 4.6
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Mets
Games played 22 22
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 50% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 33%