Final Score: Red Sox 9 - Twins 5
Wednesday, April 15, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
6-11 Rating 1514
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Twins
11-7 Rating 1474
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Twins
All-time wins 278 243
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Twins
Games played 17 18
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 35% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 78%