Final Score: Padres 8 - Red Sox 6
Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Padres @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
3-5 Rating 1532
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.0
Red Sox
2-6 Rating 1516
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Red Sox
All-time wins 13 19
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.3 4.1
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Red Sox
Games played 8 8
Avg runs scored 3.0 3.0
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.6
Win percentage 38% 25%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%