Final Score: Padres 5 - Pirates 0
Monday, April 6, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
4-5 Rating 1534
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Pirates
6-3 Rating 1477
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 245 275
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 9 9
Avg runs scored 3.6 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.8
Win percentage 44% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 100%