Final Score: Orioles 2 - Pirates 3
Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
3-4 Rating 1499
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.0
Pirates
4-3 Rating 1473
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Pirates
All-time wins 26 21
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Pirates
Games played 7 7
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.3
Win percentage 43% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%