Final Score: Pirates 8 - Reds 3
Tuesday, March 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
1-3 Rating 1466
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
3-1 Rating 1502
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 389 434
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 4 4
Avg runs scored 3.2 2.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 2.5
Win percentage 25% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 75%