Final Score: Pirates 1 - Braves 4
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:15 PM ET
Pirates @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 256 | 276 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Pirates | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 161 | 161 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 34% | 48% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Athletics
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
vs Athletics
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Athletics
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Braves
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 22, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0