Final Score: Nationals 5 - Braves 11
Monday, September 22, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET
Nationals @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 387 | 431 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 9 |
| Stat | Nationals | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 156 | 156 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 48% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ New York Mets
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Mets
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ New York Mets
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 18
6-12
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
Braves
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
vs Houston Astros
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Houston Astros
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Houston Astros
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11