Final Score: Nationals 3 - Mets 2
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 1:40 PM ET
Nationals @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 475 | 486 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 3 |
| Stat | Nationals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 155 | 155 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.5 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 61% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ New York Mets
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ New York Mets
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 18
6-12
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
Mets
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11