Final Score: Nationals 6 - Mets 12
Friday, September 19, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
62-91 Rating 1438
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: New York Mets +1.0
Mets
79-74 Rating 1515
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Mets
All-time wins 474 485
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.1
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Mets
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.4
Win percentage 41% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 62%