Final Score: Nationals 3 - Marlins 8
Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET
Nationals @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 264 | 270 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 5 |
| Stat | Nationals | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 144 | 145 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.5 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 44% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 22
15-7
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Marlins
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 22
7-15
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ New York Mets
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ New York Mets
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 19
11-8