Final Score: Marlins 5 - Nationals 10
Wednesday, September 3, 2025 at 1:05 PM ET
Marlins @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 270 | 261 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 5 |
| Stat | Marlins | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 139 | 138 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.0 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 40% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ New York Mets
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ New York Mets
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 19
11-8
@ New York Mets
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 28
9-19
@ New York Mets
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Nationals
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ New York Yankees
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
@ New York Yankees
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ New York Yankees
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6