Final Score: Nationals 5 - Cubs 11
Friday, September 5, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET
Nationals @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 335 | 319 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 7 |
| Stat | Nationals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 139 | 140 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.5 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 62% |
Recent Results
Nationals
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ New York Yankees
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
@ New York Yankees
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ New York Yankees
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Cubs
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 15
3-12
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3