Final Score: Braves 5 - Cubs 1
Wednesday, September 3, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Braves @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
62-77 Rating 1505
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
80-59 Rating 1531
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Cubs
All-time wins 271 246
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Cubs
Games played 139 139
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 45% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 63%