Final Score: Nationals 15 - Marlins 7
Monday, September 8, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
58-84 Rating 1443
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
66-77 Rating 1466
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 262 270
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 10 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 142 143
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.4 5.0
Win percentage 41% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 45%