Final Score: Pirates 5 - Nationals 1
Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET
Pirates @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 343 | 318 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 6 |
| Stat | Pirates | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 148 | 147 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 30% | 42% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 4, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
Nationals
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 22
15-7
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2