Final Score: Mets 9 - Cubs 7
Tuesday, September 23, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Mets @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
80-76 Rating 1511
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
88-68 Rating 1526
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Cubs
All-time wins 326 327
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Cubs
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.0
Win percentage 51% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 61%