Final Score: Cubs 4 - Reds 7
Friday, September 19, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
88-65 Rating 1532
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Reds
77-76 Rating 1495
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 382 411
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 58% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 55%