Final Score: Reds 11 - Cardinals 6
Monday, September 15, 2025 at 7:45 PM ET

Reds @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
74-75 Rating 1490
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.3
Cardinals
73-77 Rating 1492
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cardinals
All-time wins 377 407
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cardinals
Games played 149 150
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 50% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 55%