Final Score: Reds 2 - Padres 1
Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 8:40 PM ET
Reds @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 351 | 311 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Reds | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 145 | 145 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 63% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Mets
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New York Mets
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs New York Mets
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 22
9-13
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 21
9-12
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
Padres
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 15
12-3