Final Score: Orioles 6 - Padres 2
Tuesday, September 2, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Orioles @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
62-76 Rating 1498
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
76-62 Rating 1545
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Padres
All-time wins 14 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.3 5.6
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Padres
Games played 138 138
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.0 3.8
Win percentage 45% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 65%