Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Orioles 3
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 6:35 PM ET
Red Sox @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 482 | 393 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 131 | 130 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.0 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 48% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ New York Yankees
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ New York Yankees
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
@ New York Yankees
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ New York Yankees
Aug 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Houston Astros
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Orioles
vs Houston Astros
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Houston Astros
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 17
8-9
vs Houston Astros
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
vs Houston Astros
Aug 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Houston Astros
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 12
12-0
@ Houston Astros
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Houston Astros
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3