Final Score: Orioles 4 - Red Sox 3
Tuesday, August 19, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 392 | 482 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 3 |
| Stat | Orioles | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 125 | 126 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 63% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Houston Astros
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 12
12-0
@ Houston Astros
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Houston Astros
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Athletics
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Athletics
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Athletics
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Red Sox
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Houston Astros
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Houston Astros
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 15
14-1
@ Houston Astros
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2