Final Score: Red Sox 14 - Astros 1
Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
65-55 Rating 1519
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
67-52 Rating 1543
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Astros
All-time wins 52 49
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 4.9
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Astros
Games played 120 119
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.9
Win percentage 54% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 60%