Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Astros 4
Wednesday, August 13, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
66-55 Rating 1521
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
67-53 Rating 1541
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Astros
All-time wins 53 49
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 4.9
Last meeting 14 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Astros
Games played 121 120
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 55% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 59%