Final Score: Rays 5 - Cubs 4
Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Rays @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
72-75 Rating 1505
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
84-63 Rating 1529
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Cubs
All-time wins 13 10
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.8 3.2
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Cubs
Games played 147 147
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 49% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 62%