Final Score: Rays 4 - Cubs 6
Friday, September 12, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Rays @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
72-74 Rating 1507
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
83-63 Rating 1528
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Cubs
All-time wins 13 9
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.8 3.1
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Cubs
Games played 146 146
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 49% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 61%