Final Score: Mariners 4 - Rays 9
Wednesday, September 3, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET

Mariners @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
73-66 Rating 1519
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Rays
69-69 Rating 1513
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Rays
All-time wins 118 94
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Rays
Games played 139 138
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 53% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 52%