Final Score: Cubs 3 - Reds 6
Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
88-66 Rating 1530
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Reds
78-76 Rating 1497
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 382 412
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 57% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 55%