Final Score: Cubs 4 - Pirates 0
Monday, September 15, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
85-64 Rating 1529
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Pirates
65-85 Rating 1463
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 456 479
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 149 150
Avg runs scored 4.9 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 57% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 56%