Final Score: Nationals 2 - Braves 3
Tuesday, September 23, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET

Nationals @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
64-93 Rating 1440
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +1.0
Braves
74-83 Rating 1516
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Braves
All-time wins 387 432
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 5 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Braves
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.6
Win percentage 41% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 49%