Final Score: Reds 5 - Dodgers 10
Tuesday, September 30, 2025 at 9:08 PM ET

Reds @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
83-79 Rating 1501
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.9
Dodgers
93-69 Rating 1571
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Dodgers
All-time wins 312 351
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.9 4.2
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Dodgers
Games played 162 162
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.2
Win percentage 51% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 64%