Final Score: Orioles 2 - Yankees 3
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
75-86 Rating 1504
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Yankees
93-68 Rating 1557
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Yankees
All-time wins 385 511
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.9
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Yankees
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 47% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 61%