Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Yankees 1
Tuesday, September 30, 2025 at 6:08 PM ET
Red Sox @ Yankees
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 444 | 467 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 4 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 162 | 162 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 62% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Athletics
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
Yankees
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0