Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Rays 3
Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
84-70 Rating 1523
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.0
Rays
75-79 Rating 1503
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 265 227
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 11 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.1
Win percentage 55% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 51%