Final Score: Yankees 4 - Red Sox 1
Friday, September 12, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
81-65 Rating 1543
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.0
Red Sox
81-66 Rating 1527
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 465 443
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 146 147
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 55% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 61%