Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Diamondbacks 4
Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
78-65 Rating 1523
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.1
Diamondbacks
72-71 Rating 1515
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Diamondbacks
All-time wins 15 14
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Diamondbacks
Games played 143 143
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 55% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 54%