Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Diamondbacks 5
Saturday, September 6, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
78-64 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.1
Diamondbacks
71-71 Rating 1513
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Diamondbacks
All-time wins 15 13
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 5 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Diamondbacks
Games played 142 142
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.8
Win percentage 55% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 53%