Final Score: Guardians 8 - Red Sox 1
Wednesday, September 3, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Guardians @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
68-69 Rating 1501
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Red Sox
78-62 Rating 1529
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Red Sox
All-time wins 293 345
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 5.1
Last meeting 7 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Red Sox
Games played 137 140
Avg runs scored 3.9 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 50% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 62%