Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Rays 5
Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 212 | 261 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 150 | 150 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 51% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Houston Astros
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Houston Astros
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Houston Astros
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Yankees
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Yankees
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ New York Yankees
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
Rays
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7