Final Score: Orioles 4 - Blue Jays 5
Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 3:07 PM ET
Orioles @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 344 | 399 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 6 |
| Stat | Orioles | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 147 | 147 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 66% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Blue Jays
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Houston Astros
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Houston Astros
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Houston Astros
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Yankees
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Yankees
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ New York Yankees
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 22
13-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 21
12-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5