Final Score: Astros 3 - Blue Jays 2
Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 7:07 PM ET
Astros @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 47 | 36 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Astros | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 145 | 144 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 66% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Yankees
Sep 4, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs New York Yankees
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs New York Yankees
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Blue Jays
vs Houston Astros
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Yankees
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Yankees
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ New York Yankees
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 22
13-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 21
12-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7