Final Score: Tigers 2 - Red Sox 1
Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Tigers @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
86-74 Rating 1504
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Red Sox
88-72 Rating 1528
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Red Sox
All-time wins 267 344
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 5.1
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Red Sox
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 54% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 59%