Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Blue Jays 1
Wednesday, September 24, 2025 at 7:07 PM ET
Red Sox @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 401 | 338 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 1 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 157 | 157 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 66% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Athletics
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Athletics
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Athletics
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Yankees
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs New York Yankees
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs New York Yankees
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Blue Jays
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -19 · Total: 21
1-20
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4